Wild Seahorse.

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Wild Seahorse.

Postby cannonfire40 » Sat Jun 01, 2013 2:25 am

So, the fact that tumbleweeds appear when all monsters but the seahorse are banished combined with the much higher rate of seahorse appearance led me to believe the seahorse was just a normal combat with a rejection rate.

So I banished every monster in the zone, and got a few thousand combats of data.

613 seahorses : 2441 tumbleweeds = 20.072% seahorse rate. Chi squared value says p = 92.072% .

I'm pegging this at a rejection rate of 80%.

Anyone else have any data?
cannonfire40
 
Posts: 10
Joined: Wed Dec 19, 2012 11:08 pm

Re: Wild Seahorse.

Postby top1214 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 3:32 am

cannonfire40 wrote:So, the fact that tumbleweeds appear when all monsters but the seahorse are banished combined with the much higher rate of seahorse appearance led me to believe the seahorse was just a normal combat with a rejection rate.

So I banished every monster in the zone, and got a few thousand combats of data.

613 seahorses : 2441 tumbleweeds = 20.072% seahorse rate. Chi squared value says p = 92.072% .

I'm pegging this at a rejection rate of 80%.

Anyone else have any data?

Emphasis mine.

What did you test?
IGN: whore_moans
top1214
 
Posts: 336
Joined: Wed Mar 31, 2010 2:21 pm

Re: Wild Seahorse.

Postby cannonfire40 » Mon Jun 10, 2013 9:08 pm

top1214 wrote:
cannonfire40 wrote:So, the fact that tumbleweeds appear when all monsters but the seahorse are banished combined with the much higher rate of seahorse appearance led me to believe the seahorse was just a normal combat with a rejection rate.

So I banished every monster in the zone, and got a few thousand combats of data.

613 seahorses : 2441 tumbleweeds = 20.072% seahorse rate. Chi squared value says p = 92.072% .

I'm pegging this at a rejection rate of 80%.

Anyone else have any data?

Emphasis mine.

What did you test?


An assumed 20% rate of seahorses -- probability that the variance I saw (20.072%) was due to random chance. There was honestly no need, but I'm fond of doing so.
cannonfire40
 
Posts: 10
Joined: Wed Dec 19, 2012 11:08 pm

Re: Wild Seahorse.

Postby top1214 » Thu Jun 13, 2013 7:27 am

Did you test any other rates? Not excluding 20% doesn't mean concluding 20%.
IGN: whore_moans
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Posts: 336
Joined: Wed Mar 31, 2010 2:21 pm

Re: Wild Seahorse.

Postby top1214 » Thu Jun 20, 2013 4:50 am

top1214 wrote:Did you test any other rates? Not excluding 20% doesn't mean concluding 20%.

I checked, and rejected 25% and 15%. 20% seems solidly confirmed.
IGN: whore_moans
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Posts: 336
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